This ultimately could be a very important tournament for a couple teams, namely Boise State and Air Force. Boise State should be feeling pretty good about their chances right now, and at least one win should solidify their spot in the field, while Air Force has been largely written off, a couple wins here would still give them a pretty impressive resume. The tournament will be taking place in Las Vegas, Nevada, which should help out UNLV as it will be on their home court. The top four seeds, New Mexico, Colorado State, UNLV, and San Diego State will be in the tournament field regardless how they perform here, but will always be looking to improve their prospective seeds.
My Predictions:
The impact of UNLV playing on their home court should be huge for the Rebels, as they have posted an impressive 17-2 record on this court this season, including wins over all of the other top five seeds. New Mexico has been the best team overall in this conference this season, but they have four of their five losses in true road games, and should they face UNLV in the final it would essentially be a road game. I expect UNLV to use this as an advantage and take care of business on their home court. Among the bubble teams, Air Force gets the unfortunate draw of opening in that virtual road team role against UNLV, and I have a hard time seeing them winning that game. Boise State just beat San Diego State on their home court, but on a neutral court I think San Diego State has the edge.
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